Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
PoliticsOne-OffChessUS PoliticsElectionSports3y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAnthony Albanese 0%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$39.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
34.0% / 40.0%
Spread
17.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 8:31 PMSep 23, 29, 2:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Jim Chalmers7%
Volume trend
$98Jul 94d of dataJul 12
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If Anthony Albanese becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Angus Taylor becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pauline Hanson becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.