Which state will have the highest voter turnout at midterms in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElection7d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastMinnesota 45.2%+0.1ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 12, 26, 1:47 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
Resolves to the state that has the highest voter turnout, measured as percentage of eligible voters who vote.
- Resolution will be based off of a reliable public source to be determined later (https://ballotpedia.org/Voter_turnout_in_United_States_elections is an example, but I will use whatever is trusted and shows the data first).
