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  3. 🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (21 DONE)
🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (21 DONE)

🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (21 DONE)

GeopoliticsOne-OffSportsEsportsAI13y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Physint (Kojima stealth game)
Physint (Kojima stealth game) 66.3%
Leader of 104 outcomes
Forecasters

97

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Stale
Feb 28, 24, 6:53 PMJan 2, 40, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Physint (Kojima stealth game)66%

Rules

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

Manifold Markets
  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)
  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)
  • Any games not released before Jan 1st 2040 will resolve 100% YES.
  • Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For "Gears of War 6", the release of Gears of War: E-Day (the next mainline installment) will be treated as that answer's release, even though the title differs.

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Will a Christian Rapture-Like Event (CRLE) happen before the World Cup 2026, as foretold by Bluesky prophecy?

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Top Coding AI this month

Top Coding AI this month

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Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

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Will any NATO member state boycott the USA World Cup in 2026?

Will any NATO member state boycott the USA World Cup in 2026?

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,894.81+2.47%SolanaSOL$65.51+2.93%EthereumETH$1,657.79+1.93%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.55%BNBBNB$599.80+2.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.77%

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Rules

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

Manifold Markets
  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)
  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)
  • Any games not released before Jan 1st 2040 will resolve 100% YES.
  • Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For "Gears of War 6", the release of Gears of War: E-Day (the next mainline installment) will be treated as that answer's release, even though the title differs.