🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (13/100 DONE)
AIOne-Off
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
President with Green Eyes elected 78.3%Leader of 100 outcomes
President with Green Eyes elected 78.3%Forecasters
208
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 24, 1:23 AM UTCJan 2, 20, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
- 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 2% (happens next)
- 100th event: 100% (happens latest)
- If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.
- If there is a renumbering or new product (eg. the next Civilization game after 6 is named something else) I'll update the answers the best I can in the spirit of the question, a lot will change over 100+ years.
