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  3. ⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (9 DONE)
Manifold Markets

⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (9 DONE)

One-OffSociety & CultureTechPolitics6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
grok 5 releases 87.5%
Leader of 40 outcomes
Forecasters

28

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 2, 26, 5:46 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

grok 5 releases88%

Rules

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets
  • If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,757.05-0.87%EthereumETH$1,665.49-0.85%SolanaSOL$67.59-1.13%DogecoinDOGE$0.0864-1.59%BNBBNB$603.18-0.88%XRPXRP$1.13-1.34%

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Rules

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets
  • If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.