Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order??

Manifold Markets prices Human walks on Mars at 74.2% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? resolve?

Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2050.

How is Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve each event to a percentage as they happen, starting with 10% and working upward as follows:

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 27, 2026

• At least 1,800,000 passengers92.5%
• At least 1,900,000 passengers81%
• At least 2,000,000 passengers20.5%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.9K

24h Vol

$36.9K

POLYMARKET

Paris curfew effectively lifted by which date?

• November 30+1.3pt98%
• November 7+8.8pt98%
• October 31+28.3pt96%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

• Above 4.1 million99.5%
• Above 4.2 million98.5%
• Above 4.3 million+3.0pt98.5%

KALSHI

Duolingo language rankings · Top 10 in 2026?

• English98%
• French97%
• Spanish97.5%

KALSHI

Duolingo language rankings · #2 in 2026?

• Spanish64.5%
• Italian11.5%
• Japanese12%

KALSHI

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

• Above 950 units97.5%
• Above 1,100 units97.5%
• Above 1,250 units+4.0pt95.5%

• Duolingo language rankings · Top 5 in 2026?
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