Which countries will join both the US's Artemis Accords and China/Russia's International Lunar Research Station?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which countries will join both the US's Artemis Accords and China/Russia's International Lunar Research Station??

Manifold Markets prices India at 81.7% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Which countries will join both the US's Artemis Accords and China/Russia's International Lunar Research Station? resolve?

Which countries will join both the US's Artemis Accords and China/Russia's International Lunar Research Station? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2032.

How is Which countries will join both the US's Artemis Accords and China/Russia's International Lunar Research Station? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question is a little tricksy because the two things being compared are not real counterparts of each other, but this is the easiest version of the question in terms of resolution and also, perhaps, perception.

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POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 28+0.8pt100%
• October 31+1.3pt97%
• November 295%

+19 more outcomes

Total Vol

$29.1M

24h Vol

$901.5K

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+2.5pt63%
• December 31+5.2pt40%
• November 30+8.0pt28%

+22 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 27100%
• October 2999%
• October 3098%

+39 more outcomes

Total Vol

$40.6M

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

• No+1.0pt82.2%
• Yes-1.0pt17.8%

Total Vol

$75.8M

24h Vol

$190.7K

KALSHI

US-Iran nuclear deal?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt39.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt30.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?

• December 31+8.5pt40%
• November 30+2.0pt25%
• November 2+1.0pt6%

+7 more outcomes

• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
• Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
• Will Ukraine target Moscow on?
• Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?