Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities?
US PoliticsGeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle EastAI3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUnited Arab Emirates 63%Leader of 22 outcomes
Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 16, 26, 6:26 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 7:22 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on which countries provide military assistance to reopen the Strait of Hormuz during the ongoing US-Israeli war on Iran that began February 28, 2026.
- Military assistance includes deploying warships, naval vessels, mine-clearing equipment, or armed forces to conduct operations aimed at securing passage through the strait or clearing Iranian blockade measures (mines, drones, anti-ship missiles).
- Resolution sources:
- Official maritime advisories from Naval Forces Central Command (NAVCENT) and the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO)
- Official government statements and announcements from participating nations
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities??
- Manifold Markets prices United Arab Emirates at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities? resolve?
- Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria