Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Mox Opal 9.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Mox Opal 9.7%Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 24, 12:00 AM UTCDec 17, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Four cards were just unbanned in the Magic: the Gathering format Modern today.
- These cards were formerly quite powerful, but there has been a lot of "power creep" in the format.
- Many are saying that the named outcome won't even be played, for example — but the named outcome wasn't expected to be unbanned, and could still be broken.
- SaffronOlive asks on Twitter what odds people think of a reban, and gives these:
- [image]Resolves based on official Wizards of the Coast ban announcements.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.