Will there be a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" within 10 years after publication
One-OffAI2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 95.2%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 24, 2:05 PM UTCNov 18, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill the first AGI be built mostly within the deep learning paradigm?
Manifold MarketsWill Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRules
The market resolves YES if a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" was published by the end of November 17, 2026.
- I will not trade on this market.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" within 10 years after publication?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" within 10 years after publication resolve?
- Will there be a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" within 10 years after publication is scheduled to resolve on November 18, 2026.
- How is Will there be a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" within 10 years after publication settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The market resolves YES if a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" was published by the end of November 17, 2026.