If Trump is elected, will America be seriously involved in any wars within 2 years?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionGeopolitics6d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.5%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 9, 24, 10:02 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Trump wins the election and 100+ American troops die in any one conflict between November 5, 2024 and November 3, 2026.
- Resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election.
