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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028
Manifold Markets

Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028

PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Graham Platner 23.6%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters

4

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
Jun 9, 26, 7:25 AMDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Graham Platner24%

Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
  • Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
  • YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
  • NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
  • Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,958.45+3.07%EthereumETH$1,656.87+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.46+3.27%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.30%XRPXRP$1.12+1.25%BNBBNB$599.98+2.74%

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Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
  • Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
  • YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
  • NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
  • Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.