Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
9.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
J.D. Vance 30.3%-9.5ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$136.8
Liquidity
$65.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+24.5 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PredictItWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRules
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome Jr., the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, and the named outcome.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".