When will the Democratic Socialists of America next endorse the Democratic nominee for US president? (2024 and later)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection13y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
2028 23.3%Leader of 6 outcomes
2028 23.3%Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 22, 24, 7:49 AM UTCDec 31, 39, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
Resolves yes if the DSA officially endorses the Democratic nominee for president.
- An endorsement of the eventual nominee during a primary would be sufficient.
- In the event that they endorse in the year before, the endorsement counts for the year of the election.
- An endorsement of a candidate who becomes nominee in a later cycle is not sufficient; they would need to endorse them again (e.g., endorsing a 2028 candidate, who becomes nominee in 2032, would not be sufficient.)
