When will another terrorist attack on par with 9/11 be made on the U.S?
11.6 pts (24h)One-OffGeopolitics9yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2029 38.4%-11.6ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-11.6 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 4, 26, 8:01 PM UTCSep 4, 36, 8:01 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
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+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26M
- 24h Vol
- $717.8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-2.0pt29.1%
- September 30-4.0pt12%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-21.5pt47%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $65M
- 24h Vol
- $116.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will another terrorist attack on par with 9/11 be made on the U.S??
- Manifold Markets prices 2029 at 38% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will another terrorist attack on par with 9/11 be made on the U.S? resolve?
- When will another terrorist attack on par with 9/11 be made on the U.S? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2036.