Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.3%
Forecasters
70
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 1, 24, 2:14 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Criteria for Resolution:
- Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI.
- Confirmation of Intent:
- - The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack.
- - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.
- Nature of the Operation: