Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 92.8% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2026? resolve?

Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

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POLYMARKET

Trump out as President before 2027?

• No-0.8pt95%
• Yes+0.8pt5%

Total Vol

$13.2M

24h Vol

$73.3K

POLYMARKET

Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?

• December 31-2.5pt14%
• October 31-0.6pt4%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$25.9K

KALSHI

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

• Corey Lewandowski+7.0pt48%
• Ilhan Omar-6.0pt40.5%
• Cassidy Hutchinson-5.0pt

POLYMARKET

Ilhan Omar federally charged by which date?

• December 31-1.0pt31%
• October 31+1.2pt5%

Total Vol

$166.2K

24h Vol

$5.7K

POLYMARKET

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

• No-2.4pt93%
• Yes+2.4pt7%

Total Vol

$241.3K

24h Vol

$5.5K

KALSHI

Who will be arrested in 2026?

• Ilhan Omar-6.0pt31.5%
• John Brennan23%
• Mahmoud Khalil14.5%

• Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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• Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?