When in 2026 will US federal government present a new narrative, with documentation, regarding UAP/UFO events?
PoliticsAIGeopolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastWill not occur in 2026 46.9%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Apr 10, 26, 7:27 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Adequate novelty will be my judgement call.
- I’m likely to treat any major project or publication pattern as such when coming from the US administration or military.
- Unlikely to count as Yes further action limited to Congress.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Update 2026-04-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A single statement or tweet (even from a high-ranking official) will not count.
- Resolution requires one of the following:
