
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 7:32 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
Will "Cognitive Security as an AI Safety Cause Area" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Will "The state of AI safety in four fake graphs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Hot war between the US and China by the end of 2026?
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Full question: Will a joint statement or consensus document be released by the official US-China intergovernmental AI dialogue (Track 1) specifically committing to a shared technical safety benchmark or evaluation framework by December 31, 2027?
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https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/uschina-track-1-ai-dialogue-commitsAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
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