US Military kills 1+ US Citizen in military strike on alleged drug traffickers?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitics2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 79.1%
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11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 25, 25, 8:24 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 9:21 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the US military, during a strike for the purposes of killing drug traffickers, is confirmed to kill at least one US citizen.
