Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?
PoliticsGeopoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60.3%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 1:55 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 midterm elections will take place in November 2026.
- This market resolves YES if uniformed military personnel are deployed to polling stations during voting on election day or early voting periods. "Uniformed military" means active duty, National Guard, or Reserve personnel in official military attire.
- The deployment must be to the actual polling location or its immediate vicinity (within 100 feet).
- Resolution sources: News reports from major outlets (AP, Reuters, NPR, etc.), official statements from the Department of Defense, state election officials, or court filings documenting such deployments.
- The market resolves NO if no such deployments occur.
