Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.9%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:23 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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MyriadRules
For whatever reason (ie, "stop the illegals from voting!"), will ICE be deployed in a meaningful fashion to or around polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
- "ICE" is being used as shorthand for all forms of immigration enforcement, including: DHS and its derivative organizations (such as CBP), or the National Guard when deployed for the purposes of immigration enforcement.
- Resolution criteria
- The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if ICE is deployed in a meaningful fashion to or around polling stations on or immediately before Election Day. "Meaningful" means visible, coordinated presence that could reasonably be characterized as enforcement operations targeting polling locations—not incidental encounters or routine operations unrelated to voting sites.
- Resolution will be determined by credible reporting from major news outlets, election monitoring organizations, or official statements from election officials, DHS, or ICE confirming deployment.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections? resolve?
- Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections? is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: For whatever reason (ie, "stop the illegals from voting!"), will ICE be deployed in a meaningful fashion to or around polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?