Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 97.2%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMay 31, 26, 8:52 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 1:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Spencer Pratt win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Steve Hilton win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExCalifornia Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win?
KalshiCalifornia Governor election: Steve Hilton vote percent
KalshiWill Steve Hilton outperform the polls?
KalshiCalifornia Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Steve Hilton wins the California Governor Election OR
- if Spencer Pratt wins the Los Angeles Mayor election.
- 1 or both must occur for this to resolve yes.
- This is for who wins the election, not first place in the primary.
