Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 31, 26, 8:52 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 1:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Steve Hilton wins the California Governor Election OR
- if Spencer Pratt wins the Los Angeles Mayor election.
- 1 or both must occur for this to resolve yes.
- This is for who wins the election, not first place in the primary.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Steve Hilton OR Spencer Pratt win??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Steve Hilton OR Spencer Pratt win? resolve?
- Steve Hilton OR Spencer Pratt win? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Steve Hilton OR Spencer Pratt win? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Steve Hilton wins the California Governor Election OR