Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won??

Manifold Markets prices No at 63.1% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won? resolve?

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if republicans (or those who caucus with) win at least one of these 2026 US Senate elections:

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POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

• None-2.0pt22.8%
• IA, KS+5.0pt12.9%
• IA+2.6pt10.9%

+125 more outcomes

Total Vol

$12.3M

24h Vol

$12M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt69.5%
• D-House, R-Senate26.5%
• Republicans sweep-2.1pt

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt70.5%
• Ken Paxton-2.0pt29.5%

Total Vol

$58.8M

24h Vol

$6M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.7pt93.8%
• Republican Party-1.7pt6.3%

Total Vol

$86.6M

24h Vol

$4.5M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+1.0pt70.3%
• R Senate, D-1.0pt23.8%
• Republicans Sweep-2.0pt5%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt94.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt5.9%

Total Vol

$33.5M

24h Vol

$2.2M

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