Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won??

Manifold Markets prices No at 63.1% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won? resolve?

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if republicans (or those who caucus with) win at least one of these 2026 US Senate elections:

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KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+4.0pt69.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep-2.6pt5.5%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$76.9M

24h Vol

$10.1M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt70.5%
• Ken Paxton-2.0pt29.5%

Total Vol

$58M

24h Vol

$6.1M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.6pt93.5%
• Republican Party-2.0pt6.5%

Total Vol

$85.9M

24h Vol

$4.5M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+2.0pt69.3%
• R Senate, D-2.5pt23.8%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt5.9%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

• None-1.0pt25.5%
• IA+6.9pt14.3%
• IA, KS+4.0pt14.3%

+125 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party+2.0pt70.3%
• Republican Party-2.0pt29.7%

Total Vol

$13M

24h Vol

$2M

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