Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJune 30 11.59pm ET 2026 100%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMar 23, 26, 2:55 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
They must continuously serve, if one of them leaves their role, ALL future options will resolve no.
- Resolves yes if for that listed date and time, Netanyahu is the prime minister of Israel and Donald Trump is the president of the United States.
- Announcement of an intention to leave the role won’t count as leaving, only when they have left will it count.
- Must be properly out of the role.
- If trump goes into surgery and Vance is acting President for a couple of hours, this doesn’t count.