If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 62.8%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJul 29, 24, 1:51 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term? resolve?
- If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.