KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 38.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 38.5%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.9K
Open interest
$433.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
—
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Feb 17, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketRules
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Samuel AlitoSupreme CourtPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
- The resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.