On what day will the New York Times (NYT) project the winner of the House for the 2026 Midterms?
20.4 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms20d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 2:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNovember 4th or earlier 80.9%+20.4ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+20.4 pts
Market data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 4:40 PM UTCNov 13, 26, 5:01 AM UTC
Trends
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