Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
AIOne-OffCrime & JusticeTech3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 79.6%
Forecasters
79
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 18 hours ago
StaleDec 27, 23, 9:24 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- Favorable Outcome Defined: A favorable outcome for the New York Times (NYT) would be defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- The court rules in favor of the NYT on any of the major claims.
- OpenAI and/or Microsoft agree to a settlement that involves monetary compensation, content usage changes, or other concessions beneficial to the NYT.
- The court orders a cease in the use of NYT’s content by OpenAI and Microsoft or demands the destruction of training data that includes NYT content.
- Sources of Verification: Official court documents, credible news reports, or direct statements from the parties involved (NYT, OpenAI, Microsoft) will be used to verify the outcome.