On what day will the New York Times (NYT) project the winner of the Senate for the 2026 Midterms?

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-2.0pt65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$35.6M

24h Vol

$5.1M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton+3.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$39.4M

24h Vol

$2.5M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt66.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt23.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt79.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt20.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$194.1M

24h Vol

$1.8M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.3pt91.2%
• Republican Party8.9%

Total Vol

$68.1M

24h Vol

$1.4M

KALSHI

Brazil Presidential election winner?

• Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt77.5%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22.5%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$11.6M

24h Vol

$1.2M