KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$46.2
Liquidity
$51.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 6:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Stephen Miller leave office in 2026?
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KalshiWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by which date?
PolymarketWill Max Miller win the Ohio 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExMax Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by which date?
LimitlessRules
If Max Miller leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Max Miller must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms??
- Kalshi prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms? resolve?
- Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Max Miller leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.