KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Nov 3, 2026 · —
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Stored price
Before Nov 3, 2026 26%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Nov 3, 2026 26%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.4
Open interest
$8.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Nov 3, 2026Spread
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Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Nov 3, 2026
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Cory Mills?
KalshiWill Cory Mills win the Florida 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?
KalshiWill Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
KalshiBy 2034, will most Americans leave the house with only their phones (no wallet or keys)?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRules
If Cory Mills leaves the House before the midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Cory MillsBloomberg NewsCNBCCNNDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFox NewsMSNBCPoliticoReutersthe Associated PressUnited States House of Representativesthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
- Cory Mills must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If Cory Mills leaves the House before the midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Cory Mills leaves the House before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Cory Mills leaves the House before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.