Current community forecast
No 79.9%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 3, 24, 10:02 PM UTCApr 11, 34, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Currently most of us leave the house with phone, wallet and keys.
- Increasingly, phones are able to act as both a wallet and keys.
- This will resolve to Yes if there is a reputable survey that demonstrates that the majority of Americans adults (18+) use their phones as their primary method of payment and keys (car and house) and answer some version of the question
- “When you leave your home, what combination of phone, wallet and keys do you usually take?”
- with the answer “Phones only”
