Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.9%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 25, 26, 7:40 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves yes if Stephen Miller is out as White House Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy and United States Homeland Security Advisor before 2 Jan 2027.
- Must be out of both these roles, and not get a new White House role, unless he leaves that also before 2 Jan 2027 11.59am EST.
- Must have officially left, announcement of leaving isn’t enough.
- If he leaves his roles, will resolve yes.
- If he comes back a few months later, doesn’t count.
