Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUS ground troops, including special operations forces, physically enter Iranian territory by May 1, 2026 100%Leader of 43 outcomes
Forecasters
531
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMar 7, 26, 10:55 AM UTCMar 7, 27, 10:55 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Tracks the ongoing US-Iran war's airstrikes, naval clashes, and fallout from Khamenei's killing.
- Iran closed Strait of Hormuz after US sank its warships and hit nuclear sites.
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