If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?
Middle EastOne-Off
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
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13
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binary
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Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 26, 25, 4:58 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) in the case "Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.
- Israel)" rules that Israel is not committing genocide, and then this is featured on Wikipedia's main page (for example, on the "In the News" part) within 30 days of the ruling.
- The official ruling date will be determined by the date of publication on the ICJ's website.
- This market will resolve to "No" if, following such a ruling by the ICJ, there is no such mention of this the "In the news" section of the English Wikipedia main page within 30 days of the ruling.
- This market will resolve to "N/A" if the International Court of Justice does not issue a ruling in the case "Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.