Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:44 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastBefore 2045 36.8%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 25, 2:19 AM UTCJan 1, 00, 3:17 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve when Wikipedia ceases to have a page "Gaza genocide".
- If the article is retitled, deleted, or redirects to something else, this will trigger resolution.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_genocide
- People are welcome to add new answers.
- Anything that is not a date will be automatically N/A'd.
