If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 12 hours ago
StaleOct 7, 26, 2:13 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
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Manifold MarketsHow many bills will Trump veto in 2026?
KalshiWill Congress override Trump's veto?
KalshiRules
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Donald Trump vetoes five or more bills or joint resolutions during calendar year 2027, counting regular and pocket vetoes as listed in the U.S. Senate's record of presidential vetoes.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
