If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?
BitcoinYearlyExchangeCoinbaseUS Politics1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.6%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 hours ago
StaleOct 7, 26, 2:51 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Coinbase's BTC-USD price at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2028 (the daily close for December 31, 2027) is above $150,000.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.