How many women will there be among the President and VP candidates of both major parties in 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast1 woman 41.6%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJul 28, 25, 2:15 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
example: if the republicans run a woman president and man as vp nominee, and the democrats have a man president and a woman as vp nominee, this resolves to the named outcome
- example: if both parties run a woman for president and vp, this resolves to the named outcome
- only counting republican and democrat parties in the usa
- Update 2026-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market counts only the 4 official nominees after the conventions (President and VP candidates for both Republican and Democratic parties).
- Primary candidates are not included in the count.