Current community forecast
Marco Rubio 23.2%Leader of 69 outcomes
Forecasters
76
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 25, 1:59 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2028 Democratic Presidential ticket
Kalshi2028 Republican Presidential ticket
KalshiWill Donald Trump be on a major presidential ticket in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be?
Manifold Markets“Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?”
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRules
This is a multi-answer market.
- Pick both individuals who will be on the winning presidential ticket in the 2028 U.S. general election: the person elected President, and their official running mate elected Vice President.
- Two answers will resolve YES:
- ⁃ The President-elect and
- ⁃ Their VP running mate
- All other options will resolve NO.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Marco Rubio at 23% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028? resolve?
- Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2028.
- How is Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a multi-answer market.