KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%-2.0ptLeader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.4K
Liquidity
$36.9K
High liquiditySpread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2028 Republican Presidential ticket
KalshiWho will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
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KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Robinhood (Rothera)Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
PolymarketRules
If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Democratic Party
- Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM).
- The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?
- Kalshi prices Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket resolve?
- 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.