KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%+3.7ptLeader of 25 outcomes
Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%+3.7ptMarket quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$131.5
Open interest
$44K
High open interestSpread
2.8 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2028 Republican Presidential ticket
KalshiWho will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be on a major presidential ticket in 2028?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Democratic Party
- Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.
Rules for each outcome
- Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Jon Ossoff AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Mark Kelly in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Jon Ossoff AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Kamala Harris AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Jon Ossoff AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Pete Buttigieg in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Josh Shapiro in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and James Talarico
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is James Talarico in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Elissa Slotkin
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Elissa Slotkin in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Wes Moore in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Pete Buttigieg in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mark Kelly
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Mark Kelly in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Ruben Gallego in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Wes Moore
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Wes Moore in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Kamala Harris AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom and Ruben Gallego
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Ruben Gallego in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Buttigieg and Gretchen Whitmer
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Pete Buttigieg AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Josh Shapiro and Gretchen Whitmer
- If the Democratic presidential nominee is Josh Shapiro AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.