Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 17, 25, 3:41 AM UTCNov 7, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will Erika Kirk marry next?
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Manifold MarketsIn what year will Erika Kirk remarry?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
If they genuinely try to run this ticket, this will resolve to yes.
- This will be done at my discretion, and I will attempt to resolve it as accurately as possible.
- If by November 7, 2028, they have not tried to run, this will resolve to no.
