Will the US recognise Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands in 2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsLatin America2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.5%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleMay 22, 26, 11:36 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 1:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, the United States formally recognises the Falkland Islands as sovereign Argentine territory.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- This market will close at 03:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.