Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIowa 16%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleSep 25, 26, 3:42 AM UTCJan 3, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Closest Senate Race?
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KalshiRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race/kxclosestsenate-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Resolves to the state that has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027