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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?
Manifold Markets

Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?

One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics4mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Republican 64%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters

18

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 6, 26, 12:53 AMNov 5, 26, 6:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Independent (Other)
0.1%

Selected outcome

Republican64%

Rules

As identified on the ballot, regardless of how they eventually caucus.

Manifold Markets
  • For the caucus question, see @/EvanDaniel/how-will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-w .
  • For the two-party case, see @/lukt/which-party-will-win-nebraskas-2026
  • Note that the Democratic party is not expected to field a candidate; they've endorsed Osborn.
  • In the event that Osborn declares for a major party and appears on the ballot as a D or R candidate, this market will resolve to the D or R option.

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Rules

As identified on the ballot, regardless of how they eventually caucus.

Manifold Markets
  • For the caucus question, see @/EvanDaniel/how-will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-w .
  • For the two-party case, see @/lukt/which-party-will-win-nebraskas-2026
  • Note that the Democratic party is not expected to field a candidate; they've endorsed Osborn.
  • In the event that Osborn declares for a major party and appears on the ballot as a D or R candidate, this market will resolve to the D or R option.