Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?
1.5 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublican 71.3%+1.5ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
41
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 12:53 AM UTCNov 5, 26, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.2%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win Nebraska's 2026 Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Nebraska Governor's race?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic party win the Nebraska general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExNebraska Senate Election Winner
PolymarketHow will the Nebraska 2026 Senate winner caucus?
Manifold MarketsWill Cindy Burbank be on Nebraska’s Senate ballot?
KalshiRules
As identified on the ballot, regardless of how they eventually caucus.
- For the caucus question, see @/EvanDaniel/how-will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-w .
- For the two-party case, see @/lukt/which-party-will-win-nebraskas-2026
- Note that the Democratic party is not expected to field a candidate; they've endorsed Osborn.
- In the event that Osborn declares for a major party and appears on the ballot as a D or R candidate, this market will resolve to the D or R option.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race??
- Manifold Markets prices Republican at 71% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race? resolve?
- Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race? is scheduled to resolve on November 5, 2026.
- How is Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As identified on the ballot, regardless of how they eventually caucus.
- Where else is Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt.