Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?
2.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms20d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
South Carolina US Senate · —
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Stored price
South Carolina US Senate 64.5%
South Carolina US Senate 64.5%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Open interest
$846.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
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South Carolina US SenateSpread
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Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 7:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · South Carolina US Senate
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If South Carolina US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.
Rules for each outcome
- South Carolina US Senate
- If South Carolina US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Florida US Senate
- If Florida US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina? · South Carolina 83%