Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?
6.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Texas US Senate · —
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Stored price
Texas US Senate 57%
Texas US Senate 57%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$91.1
Open interest
$278.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Texas US SenateSpread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 7:00 PM UTCDec 7, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Texas US Senate
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Texas US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Dec 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. For ranked-choice elections, the margin is the final-round vote difference between the first- and second-place candidates (the first round if a candidate wins a majority outright) divided by total votes cast in that election, including ballots exhausted before the final round. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.
Rules for each outcome
- Texas US Senate
- If Texas US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Dec 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alaska US Senate
- If Alaska US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Dec 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.