Will there be ANY challenge or interference with the 2026 Mississippi Senate race?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice2026 US Midterms1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 51%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 7, 26, 5:24 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any of the following events occur regarding the November 3, 2026 Mississippi U.S. Senate general election between incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith and challenger Scott Colom:
- Formal Legal Contest or Lawsuit: Either candidate, an affiliated campaign, a major political party, or an authorized voter group files a formal court challenge contesting the certified outcome, seeking to halt/alter the official certification, or requesting a court-ordered recount or re-vote under Mississippi election law (e.g., Miss.
- Code Ann. § 23-15-951).
- Official Recount Ordered: A county circuit court or state authority formally orders a recount of ballots for the Senate race.
- Refusal or Delay of Certification: The Mississippi State Board of Election Commissioners or Mississippi Secretary of State refuses to certify, or is enjoined by a court from certifying, the results past the statutory certification window.
