Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 13, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 34.7%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 42 days ago
StaleJul 4, 25, 8:57 PMDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes35%
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.